While the paper’s message is worthy of recognition, it has insufficient scientific backing and is “based on multiple extremist scenarios at the same time,” Huynh Thi Lan Huong, deputy director of the Vietnam Institute of Meteorology, Hydrology and Climate Change, said Friday. The institute functions under the Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment. Huong was referring to a paper released Tuesday by Climate Central, a U.S.-based a nonprofit news organization that analyzes and reports on climate science. The paper said the entire southern part of Vietnam, including the Mekong Delta and the nation’s economic hub, HCMC, could be underwater by 2050. The study, published in Nature Communications, said sea levels projected by that year are high enough to consign an area currently home to a total of some 150 million people permanently below the high tide line, which means rising seas could affect three times more people by 2050 than previously thought. Huong said that coastal geographical statistics used in the paper was constructed by calibrating geographical statistics of the U.S., before applying them to other regions of the world. This method thus yields low accuracy, she added. “The study did not calibrate statistics for the Mekong Delta, so it… Read full this story
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